Kings vs. Warriors prediction and odds for Game 6 (Kings won’t go quietly)

The Golden State Warriors and Sacramento Kings have played an absolute barnburner of a first-round playoff series, but it all could come to an end in Game 6 on Friday night.

Golden State won Game 5 on the road, the 28th straight playoff series where the team has won a road game, to take a 3-2 lead. With De’Aaron Fox nursing a broken finger, the Warriors are in a prime spot to take down an impressive young Kings team.

Oddsmakers believe that is the case, setting Golden State as a 7.5-point favorite on Friday night at Chase Center.

The Warriors won both games at home in this series, and are looking for a fourth straight to close out the Kings.

Here are the latest odds and my best bet for this matchup:

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Kings vs. Warriors odds, spread and total

SAC @ GS | Best Odds

Apr. 28, 7:00 PM

SAC

GS

Odds updated April 27th, 2023, at 12:54 pm

Kings vs. Warriors prediction and pick

While the Warriors have been dominant at home this season, going 33-8 straight up in the regular season, I think this line is a little high considering how the Kings have battled in this series.

Only Game 3 was decided by more than 10 points, and the Kings have kept the last two contests within this number despite losing.

The Warriors can go on crazy runs at home, but Sacramento showed in Game 4 why it has the No. 1 offense in the NBA, battling back and nearly stealing that matchup on the road.

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While the Warriors’ defense is much-improved at home (top 5 in the NBA) than it is on the road (28th in defensive rating), I don’t see the Kings wilting in this spot.

The team is playing with house money, with almost everyone counting it out after Fox injured his finger.

The Warriors may win, but the Kings cover in this spot as road dogs.

Peter Dewey

BetSided

SAC +7.5

-110

spread

Sacramento Kings @ Golden State Warriors

NBA • 2022-23 First Round

04/28 7:00 PM

17-9-0 (65%) on SAC spread picks this season

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Bet with Peter

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Published on Apr 27, 2023 11:58 AM

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Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.