Game 7 is a place where legacies are forged and heroes are found, and the Golden State Warriors and Sacramento Kings have one on Sunday.
Stephen Curry and the Warriors have only played in four Game 7s since he’s joined the franchise, so this isn’t exactly familiar territory for the defending champs against De’Aaron Fox and company.
When betting in the prop market, we have to take into account that the best players on each team are going to play as many minutes as they can handle in what is expected to be a close game.
Let’s dive into my two favorite picks for Sunday’s Game 7:
Warriors vs. Kings best NBA prop bets
- De’Aaron Fox OVER 40.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists
- Jordan Poole UNDER 14.5 Points
De’Aaron Fox OVER 40.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists
De’Aaron Fox has been terrific in this series, clearing 40.5 points, rebounds and assists in four of the six games and landing on exactly 40 PRA in Game 5.
Fox has dominated any defender that Golden State has thrown at him, and I expect him to play all the minutes he can handle in Game 7.
The benefit with Fox is that even if he isn’t scoring a high rate, he can pick up close to double-digit assists (11 in Game 6, nine in Games 5, 3 and 2).
That gives him a solid base to clear this prop, and there’s always the potential he has a big scoring game (38 points in Game 1) to propel him past this number.
Jordan Poole UNDER 14.5 Points
In Game 7, Golden State is going to need to play its best players, and Jordan Poole simply hasn’t been one in this series.
Poole is a poor defender, and he’s averaging just 12.7 points per game on 33.8 percent shooting from the field in this series.
That’s not going to cut it, and the Warriors may be better off playing the defensive minded Gary Payton II or even youngster Moses Moody on the wing.
Poole always has the ability to get hot, but this series simply hasn’t gone well for him. Fade him in Game 7.
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