Milwaukee Bucks forward Khris Middleton. Mandatory Credit: Jeff Hanisch-USA TODAY Sports
The Milwaukee Bucks picked up a huge win at home in Game 2 against the Miami Heat even without Giannis Antetokounmpo (lower back) in the lineup.
Miami is down a key player in Tyler Herro (broken hand), and now it finds itself as an underdog at home in Game 3 with the series tied at one game apiece.
The Heat were the second worst team in the NBA against the spread at home this season (15-26-2), but does that change in a playoff setting?
Here’s a look at the latest odds and my best bet for Game 3:
Bucks vs. Heat odds, spread and total
Bucks vs. Heat prediction and pick
Even though the Heat stole Game 1, I think this is too short of a line for Game 2.
Milwaukee had seven different players score in double figures in Game 2, and there’s still a chance that Antetokounmpo could return for Game 3. If he does, the Bucks should be favored by even more than 5.5 points.
Miami had one of the worst offensive ratings in the NBA this season, and now the team is without arguably its No. 2 scorer in Herro.
A healthy Milwaukee team should run the Heat out of the gym, and Miami has shown time and time again that it’s a team that can’t be trusted to cover at home.
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Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.