The Memphis Grizzlies have won seven straight games heading into Wednesday’s matchup against the San Antonio Spurs.
The Spurs, who rank dead last in the NBA in defensive rating and net rating, are dealing with injuries to Devin Vassell (out), Keldon Johnson (questionable) and Keita Bates-Diop (questionable).
Johnson is the key player to watch here, as he’s clearly San Antonio’s best player this season. If he sits, the Spurs are going to struggle to find the offense to keep up with Memphis, who ranks No. 2 in the league in net rating this season.
These two teams played on Monday with Memphis winning by eight points, but the spread sits at 13.5 on Wednesday.
How should we bet on this Western Conference matchup?
Spurs vs. Grizzlies odds, spread and total
Spurs vs. Grizzlies prediction and pick
There are a lot of trends that will tell you to back the Grizzlies in this spot, but do they factor in how juiced this number is?
The Grizz are 11-6-1 against the spread as home favorites while the Spurs are 8-11 ATS as road dogs, losing those games by over 10 points per contest.
Still, the Spurs hung around on Monday without Johnson, and now there’s a chance that he returns tonight, yet the Grizz are laying 13.5?
I’m going to plug my nose and back the Spurs here, even though they have been blown out on several occasions this season.
As double-digit underdogs in the 2022-23 campaign, the Spurs are 5-3 against the spread, and they have covered in this spot in three straight.
I’m banking on Johnson returning in this game, and if he does, I think the Spurs hang around enough to cover.
Find Peter Dewey’s full betting record here.
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Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.